{"id":990767,"date":"2025-05-01T11:07:03","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T11:07:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/frishberg.com\/?p=990767"},"modified":"2025-05-01T11:18:57","modified_gmt":"2025-05-01T11:18:57","slug":"putin-announces-ceasefire-to-protect-moscow-parade-from-ukrainian-attack","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/frishberg.com\/uk\/putin-announces-ceasefire-to-protect-moscow-parade-from-ukrainian-attack\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin announces ceasefire to protect Moscow parade from Ukrainian attack"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Russian President Vladimir Putin has just announced his second unilateral ceasefire in a matter of days, but this emerging trend does not reflect any sincere desire for peace. On the contrary, Putin\u2019s brazen new ceasefire gambit suggests a man emboldened by Western weakness who is now more confident than ever that he can continue to game the US-led peace process without seriously disrupting his invasion of Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In early March, Ukraine agreed<\/a> to an American proposal for an unconditional ceasefire. Almost two months later, Russia still refuses to follow suit. As a result, many observers are drawing the obvious conclusion that Russia rather than Ukraine is the primary obstacle to peace. In an apparent bid to counter this growing consensus and distract attention from Russia\u2019s reluctance to end the war, Putin has recently begun declaring his own brief ceasefires. His first step was to announce a surprise 30-hour Easter truce<\/a> during traditional Orthodox religious festivities in Russia and Ukraine. Putin is now proposing a three-day break<\/a> in hostilities to mark Victory Day on May 9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The timing of Putin\u2019s latest truce is particularly interesting. Critics note that his Victory Day ceasefire coincides with a major military parade in Moscow to mark the eightieth anniversary of the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany. Putin is expected to host a number of high-ranking foreign dignitaries at the event, including the leaders of China, Brazil, and India. Needless to say, it would be hugely embarrassing for the Kremlin dictator if his propaganda parade was overshadowed by Ukrainian airstrikes in Moscow or elsewhere in Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many have already noted the cynicism of Putin\u2019s proposal. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reacted by reaffirming his commitment to an unconditional 30-day ceasefire while accusing the Kremlin of trying to \u201cmanipulate the world\u201d and \u201cdeceive the United States\u201d with empty ceasefire stunts. \u201cWe value human lives, not parades,\u201d he stated<\/a>. Officials in Brussels were similarly critical of the Kremlin. \u201cRussia could stop the killing and the bombing at any time, so there\u2019s absolutely no need to wait until May 8,\u201d commented<\/a> European Commission spokesperson Anita Hipper. Meanwhile, the Trump White House responded by emphasizing the need for a \u201cpermanent ceasefire<\/a>.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin\u2019s shamelessly self-serving call for a Victory Day ceasefire says much about his opportunistic approach toward the faltering peace process initiated by the United States in early 2025. Much like the 30-hour lull in fighting initiated by Putin over the Easter holiday, the three-day truce proposed this week is far too short to have any meaningful impact on negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. However, it does allow the Russian ruler to pose as peacemaker while continuing his invasion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Putin\u2019s headline-grabbing truces are also an important part of his stalling tactics as he seeks to drag out peace talks indefinitely without exhausting US President Donald Trump\u2019s patience or closing the door on a potential broader thaw in bilateral relations with the United States. It is no coincidence that both of Putin\u2019s recent ceasefire announcements have come in the immediate aftermath of critical comments from Trump indicating that the US leader is growing tired of Russian excuses. Indeed, news of the Victory Day truce emerged just hours after Trump had questioned Russia\u2019s willingness to end the war and commented that he feared Putin was \u201ctapping me along<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Putin engages in dubious peace gestures, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has recently provided a far more realistic view of the Kremlin\u2019s war aims and continued commitment to the conquest Ukraine. In an interview<\/a>with Brazilian newspaper O Globo<\/em> that was published on the same day as Putin\u2019s Victory Day ceasefire announcement, Lavrov listed Russia\u2019s conditions ahead of possible negotiations with Ukraine. These included international recognition of Russia\u2019s right to five partially occupied Ukrainian provinces, the removal of all sanctions imposed on Russia since 2014, guarantees over Ukrainian neutrality, and the reduction of Ukraine\u2019s army to a skeleton force.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crucially, Moscow also insists on Ukraine\u2019s \u201cdenazification,\u201d which is recognized as Kremlin code for the comprehensive \u201cde-Ukrainianization\u201d of the country and the reestablishment of Russian dominance in all spheres of public life. If implemented, these punishing Russian terms would not lead to a sustainable peace. Instead, they would serve as an act of capitulation, setting the stage for the final destruction of Ukraine as a state and as a nation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All this is a very long way from the Trump administration\u2019s frequent assertions that both sides<\/a> must be willing to compromise if they wish to achieve a viable settlement. While Ukraine has repeatedly backed calls for an unconditional ceasefire and has accepted the need for temporary territorial concessions, Russia continues to pursue maximalist goals that no Ukrainian government could possibly accept.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During the first hundred days of his presidency, Trump has sought to advance the peace process by pressuring Ukraine while offering Russia a wide range of incentives to engage. It should now be abundantly clear that this uneven approach has backfired. Far from persuading Putin to offer concessions of his own, Trump\u2019s appeasement policies have convinced the Kremlin to escalate its demands further. We have now reached the point where Putin believes he can personally pause the war to host a military parade on Red Square before resuming his invasion three days later. This absurd situation makes a complete mockery of Trump\u2019s peace efforts and threatens to leave him looking foolish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Trump is serious about bringing Russia to the negotiating table, he must first demonstrate a readiness to impose crippling costs on the Kremlin. The current US strategy toward Russia can be characterized as all carrots and no sticks. This is useless against a regime that only understands the language of strength and regards any attempts at compromise as signs of weakness. It also gravely underestimates the high stakes underpinning Russia\u2019s invasion. Putin views the war in Ukraine as an historic mission to reverse the imperial collapse of 1991 and return Russia to its rightful place as a global superpower. He will not abandon this mission unless the alternative is defeat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source: www.atlanticcouncil.org<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Russian President Vladimir Putin has just announced his second unilateral ceasefire in a matter of days, but this emerging trend does not reflect any sincere desire for peace. 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