At Frishberg & Partners we pay close attention to the state of russia’s economy. In his new video, Jason Jay Smart, F&P Government Relations Group Leader, explains why Russia is losing the capacity for large scale offensive warfare and what this means for Ukraine.
First, “the Russians are running not just out of men, but also out of equipment,” which they cannot replace. As modern armored reserves shrink, Russia increasingly leans on older equipment that lack the sensors and protection needed to survive a battlefield, shaped by constant surveillance and precision strikes.
Second, low cost precision systems have “changed in the whole world in 2022.” Large formations are easier to detect, track, and strike, which makes traditional maneuver warfare harder to execute. Jason adds that Russia is “increasingly and desperately counting on a political solution that it cannot deliver militarily.”
For Ukraine, these dynamics matter beyond the front line. Reduced Russian offensive capacity decreases the risks for businesses operating in Ukraine, which has an impact on logistics planning and investment timelines.
Watch full video:
